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On the day before the Super Tuesday primary vote a new CNN/ORC poll shows very comfortable leads for both Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Clinton has slightly increased her margin by 3 points over Sanders in the past month and is now receiving 55 percent of Democratic support to Sanders’ 38 percent for a 17 point lead.
Due to the thinning of the Republican ranks, Trump has been the primary beneficiary on the changes on the Republican side.
Trump has increased his support in the past month from 41 percent to 49 percent in the current poll, which affords him a 33 point lead over the second place candidate, Senator Marco Rubio.
Senator Rubio received 16 percent of the vote to barely out poll Senator Ted Cruz who received 15 percent. Cruz’s support dropped four points in the past month, sliding him from second to third place in the race. Rubio’s support doubled in the same time frame.
Retired surgeon Ben Carson notched double digit support with 10 percent of the vote in the poll while Governor John Kasich received 6 percent.
Trump outscored his competitors in the following categories: effective at solving the country’s problems (51 percent); being a responsible commander-in-chief (48 percent); ‘best understand[ing] the problems facing people like you’ (46 percent); and being the most honest and trustworthy (35 percent.)
In the same categories, Clinton beat Sanders in two, tied one and lost one. Clinton prevailed in the commander-in-chief test (73 percent); and effective at solving the country’s problems (63 percent.)
It’s nearly a tie on the question, ‘best understands the problems facing people like you’ with Clinton receiving 49 percent and Sanders 48 percent.
Sanders beats Clinton at being the most honest and trustworthy, 59 percent to 36 percent.
Clinton has a higher percentage of Democrats than Sanders who declare they wouldn’t support her, but her numbers aren’t near as potentially damaging as Trump’s.
35 percent of those polled said they definitely would not support Trump. Another 13 percent indicated they probably would not support him.
For Cruz, 11 percent state they definitely would not support him while 13 percent indicated they probably would not support him.
For Rubio, 12 percent say they definitely would not support him and 17 percent probably would not support him.
If the two front runners do end up facing off in the general election, their respective high negativity ratings could become critical to deciding the next occupant in the White House. Their ardent, if not fanatical, supporters should be wary of over-confidence.
Take this poll: